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Knicks vs. Spurs series prediction, odds: Which team lands the first punch in NBA Finals?

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New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson #11 shooting a 3-point shot in the 1st quarter.
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The appeal of playoff basketball lies in each team having four chances to succeed across seven games. 

At bet365 Sportsbook, there is a market available to predict the correct score after Game 3 of the upcoming Spurs vs. Knicks series.

In addition to their historic 11-game winning streak heading into the NBA Finals, the Knicks have also remained undefeated in Game 1s, securing vital home victories over the Hawks, 76ers, and Cavaliers.

Furthermore, they have nearly every Game 2 in each series, except for a clutch shot by C.J. McCollum in Round 1.

The Spurs’ journey to the championship round with Victor Wembanyama has been somewhat different.

All their playoff series have been tied 1-1 after two games, and although they managed to turn things around against the Blazers and Timberwolves, the Thunder took a 2-1 lead.

This makes their decisive win in the Western Conference finals against the reigning champion more impressive, but does this approach work well against the Knicks?

Jalen Brunson’s ability to get himself and teammates off to fast starts in postseason series has been on full display this year with a 28-point performance against the Hawks, 35 against the Sixers and 38 against the Cavaliers. 

In his career, the Knicks captain is averaging 27.9 points and five assists on 46 percent shooting from the floor in 14 Game 1 outings. 


The Knicks’ Jalen Brunson has historically played well above average in Game 1s of the playoffs. Charles Wenzelberg / New York Post

The Spurs are listed as 4.5-point favorites on the spread in the series opener, and for good reason. Wembanyama is on a generational run, and the supporting cast for Mitch Johnson’s team is clicking at the right time. 

However, a playoff series isn’t official until a team wins on the road, and I’m confident the Knicks can steal a game early in San Antonio. 

The Knicks will enter Frost Bank Center on Wednesday with nine days of rest, compared with the Spurs who had four. Since the NBA-ABA merger, teams with over nine days of rest facing opponents with four or fewer days of rest have a straight-up record of 24-13 on the moneyline, according to Action Network. 


Betting on the NBA?


Whether the Knicks win Game 1 and lose Game 2, or vice versa, if this series comes to Madison Square Garden tied 1-1, I’m confident the Knicks will capture Game 3 off the strength of the home crowd atmosphere alone.

The Knicks’ six wins at MSG during this postseason run are by an average of 18 points. 

I’m expecting them to land the first few jabs in what could be a memorable Finals. 

The Play: Series Correct Score after Game 3: Knicks 2-1 (+195, bet365)


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Mike Turay is a sports journalist and editor who closely follows the NBA, NFL, college sports and UFC. He has demonstrated expertise in both NBA and NFL player prop bets for nearly three years. Mike is also highly knowledgeable about the sportsbook offer landscape, frequently trying and reviewing the latest apps and sites.

[Notigroup Newsroom in collaboration with other media outlets, with information from the following sources]

Tags: bettingnbanba bettingnba finalsnba playoffs 2026new york knickssan antonio spursSportssports bettingSports Picks
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