Super Bowl 2026 is set, and it’s the unlikeliest matchup we’ve had in ages.
The Seattle Seahawks were available at 60/1 to win the NFC if you bet on it in the preseason, while the Patriots’ odds were even longer, at 80/1 to win the AFC.
No matter how shocked we are to see these two teams make the Super Bowl, there’s always a chance to find some value in the market, especially early on before the public starts getting involved.
Below, we give our early Super Bowl prediction as we get a rematch of the 2015 game that ended with an unforgettable Malcolm Butler interception at the goal line to win it for New England.
2026 Super Bowl early predictions
Patriots +4.5 vs. Seahawks
New England hasn’t played as well in these playoffs as it did in the regular season, especially on the offensive side of the ball, but covering the 4.5-point spread is certainly doable for Mike Vrabel’s group.
The lookahead line had Seattle by 3.5 on Saturday, but once the matchup was set and we saw New England struggle in a winter wonderland game in Denver, the Seahawks opened as 4.5-point favorites.
Some books moved a half point to Seahawks -5 (BetMGM and BetRivers), but we’re quickly bet back down to the opening number.
I think the line eventually drops down to 3.5, helping us clear a semi-important number of four.
The goal would be to middle this Patriots +4.5 bet with a turnaround wager on the Seahawks -3.5; it’s not perfect, but it’s where I’m seeing some value.
Kenneth Walker over 39.5 receiving yards (+390, BetRivers)
Kenneth Walker is the bell cow in Seattle now that Zach Charbonnet is out with a torn ACL.
For followers of my weekly player props piece, I pointed out that Walker has been seriously involved in the passing game, which continued this weekend as he cleared 40 receiving yards, cashing a bet for us at +360.
The odds haven’t really changed, and I’m not sure why.
New England gobbles up the run game, allowing four yards per carry, a top figure in the NFL.
Walker will get all of those carries, but he also catches a ton of passes, whether it’s screens or legitimate routes run.
New England allows 4.65 receptions to opposing running backs, the ninth-most in the NFL this season.
I think this line moves once people take a closer look at the player prop market in the next few days.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
[Notigroup Newsroom in collaboration with other media outlets, with information from the following sources]
