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Mets vs. Reds prediction, odds: MLB best bets, picks

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New York Mets pitcher Jonah Tong (21) throws a pitch in the first inning in his major league debut
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In his second start in the big leagues, Jonah Tong takes the ball for the Mets against the Reds in the middle of a playoff chase.

Cincinnati is looking to make up some serious ground and sneak into the sixth spot in the National League Wild Card, but Friday’s 5-4 loss dropped them six games behind the Mets and Padres for the final NL bid.

Tong nervously was able to toss five innings in his MLB debut against the Marlins, while striking out six.

He’ll have a much stiffer test this time out, as he received a 12-run lead against Miami.

Tong will match up against former Royals starter Brady Singer.

Singer has been about league-average this year, posting a 4.08 ERA and a 12-9 record.

The Mets have not seen much of Singer, and, obviously, this is Tong’s second career start, so there’s very limited opportunity to draw back on past successes and/or failures.


New York Mets pitcher Jonah Tong (21) throws a pitch in the first inning in his major league debut. Robert Sabo for NY Post

The Mets have played well of late despite a hiccup in that Marlins series, where they lost three of four.

Still, I think a big piece of the pie is that the Mets struggle against teams that don’t strike out.

The Marlins strikeout near the bottom of the league, while the Phillies and Tigers — who they won five of six from recently — are near the top of the league in strikeouts.


Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting


Cincinnati also strikes out plenty, ranking 24th with their 24 percent rate entering Friday.

For this reason, I like the Mets to put a bigger dent in the Reds’ playoff dreams and win outright Saturday.

PICK: Mets moneyline (-134, FanDuel)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.

[Notigroup Newsroom in collaboration with other media outlets, with information from the following sources]

Tags: bettingcincinnati redsmlbmlb bettingnew york metsSportssports bettingSports Picks
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