A Japanese professor has predicted the year Japan will become extinct if the country doesn’t grapple with its rapidly ageing population.
The year is 2720 and away from science-fiction fantasies of flying cars, robots and intergalactic travel to far away stars one Tokyo academic has made a damning projection.
Hiroshi Yoshida, a professor at Tohoku University’s Research Centre for Aged Economy and Society, claims that after centuries of population decline Japan will be left with just one child under the age of 14 by 2720.
Mr Yoshida has run demographic simulations since 2012 and his latest finding is that, on his current projection, his home will likely cease to exist 695 years from now, according to The Times.
Shocking data, released by Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, prompted Mr Yoshida to bring his estimate forward by 100 years after it revealed a steep drop of 2.3 per cent in the number of children.
The number of births in Japan has steadily declined since the 1970s until in 2005 the number of deaths overtook births.
In 2022 there were almost one million more deaths than births in Japan and the percentage of people over 65 currently stand at 29.9 per cent of the population – that is an increase of 24.1 per cent since 1960.
Mr Yoshida told Japanese media the country’s long term recession means that young people cannot get married or have children due to low income.
A group of elderly Japanese women. A Japanese professor has predicted the year Japan will become extinct if the country doesn’t grapple with its rapidly ageing population
A young Japanese family. Hiroshi Yoshida, a professor at Tohoku University’s Research Centre for Aged Economy and Society, claims that after centuries of population decline Japan will be left with just one child under the age of 14 by 2720
He said: ‘Unless the decline in the number of births stops, the hand of the “clock” will go back.
‘Japan may become the first country to become extinct due to a low birthrate. We should create an environment where women and the elderly can work, and aim for a society where everyone is actively involved.’
Japanese politicians have been attempting to find solutions to the country’s demographic crisis with some policymakers warning it only has until 2030 to reverse the trend.
Rather than extinction, the more immediate threat to Japan is problems that arise from having more elderly people to take care but less younger people in the workforce.
To tackle this Newsweek reported that Japan is planning to relax its tough immigration policies to allow more foreign workers to enter the country.
The government hopes to triple the number of workers from abroad by 2040.
It is also planning to hand out more cash incentives with 5.3 trillion yen (or £27 billion) earmarked to help couples start families.
Officials hope that if couples see more cash in their wallets they might be more willing to have children.
A young couple in Tokyo. Last year, Tokyo’s metro government even launched its own dating app to try and boost the birthrate. The move was described by a Tokyo official as a ‘gentle push’ to help young singles in the capital find their future wives and husbands
The lack of a work-life balance in Japan is another area the government are keen to address.
In Tokyo, state government employees will adopt a four-day work week and in another policy parents of young children will be allowed to clock off two hours earlier in exchange for a pay cut.
In other incentives the government are encouraging couples to get married and advocating for greater gender equality.
Last year, Tokyo’s metro government even launched its own dating app to try and boost the birthrate.
Users are required to submit proof they are single as well as a evidence of their income and a signed letter that they want to marry.
The move was described by a Tokyo official as a ‘gentle push’ to help young singles in the capital find their future wives and husbands.
[Notigroup Newsroom in collaboration with other media outlets, with information from the following sources]
