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Humanoid robots are Meta’s next ‘AR-size bet’

in Technology
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This is Sources by Alex Heath, a newsletter about AI and the tech industry, syndicated just for noti.group subscribers once a week.

Building humanoid robots is Meta’s next “AR size bet,” a top executive told me recently. That suggests the company plans to spend billions of dollars on the effort.

During a recent conversation at Meta’s headquarters, CTO Andrew Bosworth said he stood up a robotics “research effort” earlier this year at the direction of CEO Mark Zuckerberg. The team’s existence has been reported on before, but Bosworth hadn’t discussed its strategy in-depth until our interview.

“I don’t think the hardware is the hard part,” he told me ahead of Meta’s recent Connect conference. “I’m not saying the hardware isn’t also hard, but it’s not the bottleneck. The bottleneck is the software.”

To demonstrate, Bosworth picked up my glass of water from a table between us. “If you know robotics, one of the biggest problems that you have is dexterous manipulation,” he said. “These robots, they can stand, they can run, they can do a flip, because the ground is a super stable thing.” By contrast, a robot trying to pick up the glass of water would likely “immediately crush it or spill all the water.”

“I’m not saying the hardware isn’t also hard, but it’s not the bottleneck. The bottleneck is the software.”

While Meta is currently building its own humanoid, or “Metabot” as it’s called internally, Bosworth envisions the company licensing its software platform to other robot manufacturers. “I don’t care about us being the hardware manufacturers,” he explained. Instead, Meta plans to approach it similarly to Google, which licenses its software to phone makers. The idea, according to Bosworth, is to take the software blueprint Meta develops and let any company use it “as long as your robot meets these specs.”

He said that Meta’s new Superintelligence AI lab is collaborating with the robotics group to build a “world model” that can “do the software simulation required to animate a dexterous hand.” (Google DeepMind’s Demis Hassabis has also talked frequently about his goal of building a world model that brings spatial awareness to AI.) The “sensor loop doesn’t exist” for a humanoid to be able to gingerly fetch a set of keys out of a jeans pocket like a human could, Bosworth explained. “So you have to build that data set.”

“We wouldn’t be doing this if we didn’t have the lab, if we didn’t think we were going to be building the models that could do it,” he said, referring to the new team being led by ex-Scale CEO Alexandr Wang.

When I asked about the approach Elon Musk is taking with Optimus, Bosworth said that building humanoids won’t work in the same way that Tesla has built its self-driving platform: “They’re like, ‘Look, we’re not doing LiDAR. Humans have figured this out with vision, and therefore, we can do it with enough data.’ I can see how Tesla cars are getting enough data. I can’t figure out how they’re going to get robotic data.”

“We wouldn’t be doing this if we didn’t have the lab.”

Marc Whitten, the former CEO of self-driving company Cruise, is leading Meta’s robotics team. “The real story is the talent we’ve been able to pull,” according to Bosworth. He highlighted Sangbae Kim — “the greatest tactical roboticist in the game right now” — who Meta hired from MIT earlier this year. He also told the story of convincing Jinsong Yu, a senior Meta engineer who architected the software for the Orion AR glasses prototype, not to retire and join the team. And Ning Li, a 15-year company veteran, is now leading the engineering team for robotics.

Based on my conversation with Bosworth, it appears that Meta still has a lot to figure out regarding its robotics strategy. He mentioned how there are “a bunch of people competing to be the backbone provider” for humanoids at the silicon level, such as Nvidia and Qualcomm, and that Meta is “considering all those pieces.” And even though he framed the effort in the same category as the billions Meta is spending on AR, Bosworth seemed to downplay the need for a robot that’s as dexterously advanced as Tesla’s Optimus.

“I don’t think you need 23 degrees of freedom in your hand. Two thumbs would be nice. I only need two thumbs.”

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