Houston brings the league’s stickiest defense to a Patriots team powered by an MVP-level quarterback.
The Texans have won 10 straight by turning games into rock fights, scoring just enough while their defense dictates terms, and the market reflects respect for that formula even on the road.
New England counters with sophomore breakout Drake Maye, whose passing efficiency has carried them all season and forces Houston to defend every blade of grass.
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What our Post expert thinks about Texans vs. Patriots
The most fragile point in this matchup might be Maye’s ball security, not his arm, after two fumbles against a Chargers pass rush that doesn’t deploy Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter.
Houston allowed the fewest yards in the league, yet this is the rare offense that can still generate points without help from the run, producing a league-best 0.26 EPA per dropback.
Flip it around and the Patriots’ defense gets a break facing a Texans offense that has leaned on its defense all year and could be missing Nico Collins.
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New customers in AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KY, LA, MI, MO, OH, PA, VT or WY (excludes NY). Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -500) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. Wager must settle as a loss to earn FanCash equal to losing amount (max $200 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app.
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Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
[Notigroup Newsroom in collaboration with other media outlets, with information from the following sources]
