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Dolphins vs. Commanders, Texans vs. Titans predictions: NFL Week 11 picks, odds

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Tua Tagovailoa in action for the Dolphins on Oct. 30, 2025.
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Sports betting writer Dylan Svoboda joins noti.group’s Bettor’s Guide for his second season.

MIAMI DOLPHINS (-2.5) over Washington Commanders

The Commanders aren’t the same team without Jayden Daniels.

In four games without their star quarterback, Washington has lost three times by a touchdown or more while squeaking out a win over the 2-7 Raiders. 

Their defense has been rough this season, and with Daniels sidelined, they just don’t have the firepower to keep up. 

The Commanders’ run defense, in particular, has struggled in recent weeks, giving up 154 yards on the ground per game over their last three games, including 226 last week against the Lions. 

On Sunday, they’re taking on Devon Achane and the Dolphins, who have turned their season around after all looked lost early on.

Over their last three games, the Dolphins have gotten upset wins over the Falcons and Bills while allowing just 51 total points. 

Look for Achane to run wild and the Dolphins to secure an easy win.


Tua Tagovailoa in action for the Dolphins on Oct. 30, 2025. Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

Houston Texans (-6) over TENNESSEE TITANS

It can’t get much worse in Tennessee. 

The Titans are 1-8 coming off their bye week, with their only win being perhaps the luckiest in all of football this season when they came back against the Cardinals during Week 5. 

They’ve yet to score more than 22 points in a game this season, and they’ll take on one of the fiercest defenses in football on Sunday.

The Texans have allowed an NFL-low 16.7 points per game, and that’s after their worst showing of the season last week against the Jaguars.


Betting on the NFL?


As of this writing, it doesn’t appear C.J. Stroud will be ready to return from a concussion he suffered two weeks ago, but Davis Mills has been better than expected in his place.

Last week, Mills completed 27-of-45 passes for 292 yards, helping the Texans erase a 19-point fourth-quarter deficit to shock Jacksonville.

It should be a bit more painless in Nashville this week. 

LAST WEEK: 1-1.

2025 SEASON: 10-10.


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.

[Notigroup Newsroom in collaboration with other media outlets, with information from the following sources]

Tags: bettingbettor's guidehouston texansmiami dolphinsnflnfl bettingSportssports bettingSports Pickstennessee titanswashington commanders
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