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College basketball picks, best bets for Thursday

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Michigan State coach Tom Izzo giving instructions during an NCAA basketball game.
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Thursday’s primetime college hoops game pits No. 8 Purdue against No. 13 Michigan State.

The Boilermakers play host and are 6.5-point favorites on DraftKings against the Spartans in the Big Ten matchup as Purdue is rated No. 3 in the conference, ahead of Michigan State, which comes in at No. 5.

This will be the first and only time these two teams face off this regular season, as both have a schedule jam-packed with tough matchups across the conference.

Purdue has smashed in this matchup in recent years, going 8-2 against Michigan State since 2020.

Though the games have generally been considered close, with an average point differential of 8.5 in each game.


AP

Purdue vs. Michigan State prediction

If you want to see what KenPom says about these two teams, Purdue is ranked No. 7 in the country, while Michigan State is ranked No. 9.

FTN Fantasy’s college rankings have similar sentiment, with Purdue coming in at No. 7 and Michigan State at No. 10.

These two are not separated by much, so the betting line is a bit more curious than many expected it would be as this game nears.

Purdue was a favorite against the Michigan Wolverines and lost 91-80 on Feb. 17th, so we know the betting community looks at them favorably.

The Boilermakers are led by top scorer and guard Braden Smith, while Tom Izzo’s group counters that with strong guard play of its own, featuring Jeremy Fears Jr.


Betting on College Basketball?


The Spartans typically emphasize aggressive on-ball defense at the perimeter, and I suspect that will be an issue for the Boilermakers tonight.

I’m parlaying the Under with taking the points on Michigan State. If possessions do shrink, that only strengthens the Spartans’ chances of staying within six points.

PREDICTION: Michigan State +5.5 + Under 140.5 (+260, FanDuel)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.

[Notigroup Newsroom in collaboration with other media outlets, with information from the following sources]

Tags: bettingCollege Basketballcollege basketball bettingmichigan state spartanspurdue boilermakersSportssports bettingSports Picks
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