College basketball picks, best bets

Perhaps no team in college hoops is more fun to watch right now than the Arkansas Razorbacks.

John Calipari’s group comes in as a 6.5-point favorite at home for a big game against a sneaky good Texas team that is as talented as anyone in the country.

Sean Miller’s squad is rated No. 30 overall according to FTN’s power rankings and No. 29 according to KenPom and was a preseason top-25 team going into the season.

Arkansas is ranked No. 19 on KenPom and No. 15 on FTN, respectively.

The total for the game comes in at 163.5 for Wednesday night.

Arkansas vs. Texas prediction

Texas is getting plenty of respect from the betting market, given the spread and the results their team has put forward this year.

The Longhorns are 18-11 overall, though few will argue that they have the talent to compete with the Razorbacks.

Calipari has spearheaded an incredible offensive style, the sixth-best in the country according to KenPom.

Texas’ offense is strong as well, rated No. 7 on KenPom.

This leads me to a bet on the Over 163.5 points as my model projections have an implied score of 88.59 to 78.03 in favor of the Razorbacks.

My model has an implied total of 167, so there is certainly value here.

That same projection has Arkansas as a 10-point favorite, compared to the 6.5 you use at most books.

There are no major injuries to speak of in this game, with only Karter Knox, a role-playing contributor, looking doubtful to play for the Razorbacks.

Betting on College Basketball?

This will be a highly entertaining up-and-down affair, one I expect Arkansas to win in a shootout.

PREDICTIONS: Over 163.5 (-110, BetMGM) | Arkansas -6.5 (-110, Fanatics Sportsbook)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.